Decade: 2020s
Explore geopolitical analyses, international crises, and diplomatic developments during the 2020s.
Published Chronicles & Analyses
Ukraine Mirovne Inicijative in 2025: Geopolitical Options and Settlement Possibilities
An in-depth analysis of the complex geopolitical landscape in 2025 surrounding proposals for de-escalation in Ukraine, focusing on the freezing of front lines, the establishment of demilitarized zones, and the evolving long-term security architecture of Eastern Europe. This expanded study explores the historical precedents, the motivations of key international actors, the intricate diplomatic maneuvers, intelligence considerations, and the profound socio-economic implications of potential settlement possibilities.
The US Presidential Election of 2024: Donald Trump's Return and Policy Shifts
Donald Trump's electoral victory in 2024 fundamentally reshaped American foreign and domestic policy, introducing sweeping tariffs, prioritizing immediate negotiations to resolve the war in Ukraine, and instigating a profound geopolitical realignment. This comprehensive analysis explores the historical context, key events, and far-reaching consequences of this pivotal election.
The 2024 Middle East Escalation: Direct Strikes Between Israel and Iran
The April 2024 direct exchange of military strikes between Israel and Iran fundamentally altered the dynamics of their decades-long 'shadow war,' ushering in an era of overt state-on-state confrontation with profound geopolitical implications for the Middle East and beyond.
Sweden Joins NATO in 2024: The End of Two Centuries of Non-Alignment
Sweden's accession to NATO in 2024 concludes two centuries of non-alignment, reshaping the Baltic Sea security landscape and profoundly influencing Northern European geopolitics following the formal deposit of its instrument of accession.
The Red Sea Crisis of 2024: Houthi Shipping Attacks and Suez Disruptions
The 2024 Red Sea crisis, characterized by Houthi missile and drone attacks targeting international shipping, led to significant disruptions in global trade through the Suez Canal and prompted extensive US-led Operation Prosperity Guardian airstrikes in Yemen. This crisis underscored the escalating regional proxy warfare and complex interplay between the Israel-Hamas conflict and maritime security in a critical global chokepoint.
Taiwan's 2024 Election: William Lai's Victory and Continued Cross-Strait Tension
The election of William Lai, signaling an unprecedented third consecutive term for the Democratic Progressive Party, reinforces Taiwan's distinct democratic identity and sets the stage for intensified cross-strait tension and complex geopolitical maneuvering.
The Gaza War of 2023-2024: Humanitarian Disaster and Israel's Campaign against Hamas
An in-depth analysis of Israel's intensive military operation in Gaza, the catastrophic humanitarian crisis, profound civilian displacement, extensive infrastructure damage, and the significant international legal and geopolitical challenges that have redefined the regional security landscape.
The October 7 Attacks on Israel in 2023: Hamas Strike and Escalation
Hamas's unprecedented and meticulously planned cross-border raid from Gaza on October 7, 2023, resulted in the single deadliest day for Jewish people since the Holocaust, shattering Israel's sense of security, revealing profound intelligence failures, and precipitating a large-scale war with far-reaching geopolitical implications across the Middle East and beyond.
The 2023 Flight from Nagorno-Karabakh: Dissolution of the Breakaway Republic
A comprehensive historical and geopolitical analysis of Azerbaijan's swift military sweep in September 2023, the collapse of ethnic Armenian defenses, the total departure of over 100,000 refugees to Armenia, and the profound regional and international implications of the Nagorno-Karabakh Republic's dissolution.
The 2023 BRICS Expansion in Johannesburg: Building a Multipolary Bloc
The admission of Saudi Arabia, Iran, Egypt, and UAE into the bloc, challenging the financial hegemony of G7-led institutions and signaling a significant recalibration of global power structures.
Finland Joins NATO in 2023: Ending Decades of Military Neutrality
Helsinki's rapid and historic shift away from non-alignment in response to the Ukraine war, fundamentally reshaping European security by doubling NATO's direct land border with Russia and transforming the strategic landscape of the Baltic and Arctic regions.
Nancy Pelosi's Visit to Taiwan in 2022: Military Drills and Superpower Friction
The House Speaker's visit to Taipei, provoking major military drills and encirclement exercises by the Chinese PLA around the island, significantly escalating cross-strait tensions and altering the regional security landscape.
The Financial War Against Russia: Sanctions, Asset Freezes, and SWIFT Ban
A comprehensive analysis of the unprecedented financial statecraft deployed against Russia in 2022, detailing the freezing of Central Bank foreign reserves, exclusion from SWIFT, and the systemic decoupling of its financial sector, alongside its historical precedents, geopolitical implications, and long-term legacy.
The 2022 Russian Invasion of Ukraine: Outbreak of Large-Scale European War
A comprehensive analysis of Russia's full-scale invasion of Ukraine in 2022, detailing its historical roots, the opening campaigns, geopolitical fallout, the roles of key actors, and its profound impact on global security and international law. This article explores the military strategies, diplomatic failures, economic consequences, and the evolving historiography of the largest conventional conflict in Europe since World War II.
The 2021 European Energy Crisis: Natural Gas Supplies as a Geopolitical Weapon
A comprehensive analysis of the 2021 European energy crisis, exploring its historical roots, geopolitical implications, the weaponization of natural gas by Russia, and its profound impact on European energy policy and international relations.
The 2021 US Withdrawal from Afghanistan: Return of the Taliban and End of a 20-Year War
An in-depth analysis of the 2021 US withdrawal from Afghanistan, examining the historical context of the two-decade conflict, the rapid collapse of the Western-backed Afghan state, the return of Taliban governance, and the profound geopolitical, socio-economic, and humanitarian consequences.
The US Capitol Attack of January 6, 2021: Assault on American Democracy
The storming of the US Capitol by Trump supporters during the certification of electoral votes, leading to an historic second impeachment.
The 2020 Nagorno-Karabakh War: Azerbaijan's Drone-Driven Campaign
The 44-day 2020 Nagorno-Karabakh War, a landmark conflict featuring the decisive deployment of Turkish Bayraktar TB2 drones and Israeli loitering munitions, fundamentally reshaped military doctrine and geopolitical alliances in the South Caucasus, ending with a Russian-brokered cease-fire that secured significant territorial gains for Azerbaijan.
The 2020 Belarusian Protests: Disputed Elections and Lukashenko's Survival
An in-depth analysis of the unprecedented large-scale protests in Belarus following the controversial 2020 presidential election, detailing the deep historical context, geopolitical maneuvering, state repression, and long-term consequences of Alexander Lukashenko's struggle to maintain power amidst allegations of widespread electoral fraud and Moscow's critical intervention.
The COVID-19 Pandemic and Vaccine Geopolitics: A Struggle for Influence
The declaration of a global pandemic, lockdowns, disputes over virus origins, and the deployment of vaccines as tools of diplomatic leverage.